Ghazouani at the Helm

A collage of Mohamed Ould Ghazouani, Mauritania's president.

Photo Illustration by Ezinne Osueke / THE REPUBLIC. Source Ref: Mohamed Ould Ghazouani / WIKIMEDIA; NATO North Atlantic Treaty Organization / FLICKR; jbdodane / FLICKR; 10-franc Mauri Couple single / SMITHSONIAN NATIONAL POSTAL MUSEUM. 

THE MINISTRY OF POLITICAL AFFAIRS

Ghazouani at the Helm

While domestic challenges to Mohamed Ould Ghazouani’s legitimacy dimmed soon after he was re-elected as Mauritanian president last year, his attempt to balance competing external pressures risks reigniting the social tensions that underpinned the original mobilizations against his re-election.
A collage of Mohamed Ould Ghazouani, Mauritania's president.

Photo Illustration by Ezinne Osueke / THE REPUBLIC. Source Ref: Mohamed Ould Ghazouani / WIKIMEDIA; NATO North Atlantic Treaty Organization / FLICKR; jbdodane / FLICKR; 10-franc Mauri Couple single / SMITHSONIAN NATIONAL POSTAL MUSEUM.

THE MINISTRY OF POLITICAL AFFAIRS

Ghazouani at the Helm

While domestic challenges to Mohamed Ould Ghazouani’s legitimacy dimmed soon after he was re-elected as Mauritanian president last year, his attempt to balance competing external pressures risks reigniting the social tensions that underpinned the original mobilizations against his re-election.

It has been one year since Mauritanian President Mohamed Ould Ghazouani was re-elected for a second five-year term on 29 June 2024. This outcome was widely anticipated, but it came within a national context that is historically no stranger to military coups, and a regional one in which such coups increasingly appear the norm rather than the exception. The result was contested by lead opposition candidate and anti-slavery campaigner Biram Dah Abeid in the aftermath, which saw widespread protests and a police crackdown resulting in the deaths of at least three people. But these challenges to Ghazouani’s legitimacy tapered off as the election faded from view. In the interim, Ghazouani has domestically consolidated his political position while striving to balance various countervailing external pressures. The act of doing so, however, has undermined Mauritania’s regional and continental diplomatic efforts and risks reigniting the social tensions that underpinned the original mobilizations against Ghazouani’s re-election.

CONSOLIDATING DOMESTIC POLITICAL POWER

In terms of domestic politics, Ghazouani has, since his re-election, enfolded the opposition, while concurrently ensuring that his erstwhile ally, former President Mohamed Ould Abdel Aziz, remains neutralized as a political threat. Ghazouani achieved the former through a national dialogue open to all registered political parties, with those of the five candidates who contested the June 2024 election given priority. This process mirrors a previous dialogue process which saw the historical opposition in Mauritania declare loyalty to the ruling party as part of a ‘republican pact’, which has, however, remained dormant. If that process is anything to go by, the recent dialogue framework is likely to be a similar means of stultifying and demobilizing the opposition.

If co-optation has been the strategy vis-à-vis the political opposition, a more antagonistic approach has characterized Ghazouani’s approach to Abdel Aziz. Having ruled the country for two terms, from 2009 to 2019, before handing the reins of the state to Ghazouani, Abdel Aziz has since become the subject of a corruption trial, which had been a defining feature of much of Ghazouani’s first term. Along with several other high-ranking government officials, Abdel Aziz faced charges of corruption, illicit enrichment and embezzlement. Ghazouani kept a consistent distance from the proceedings, but Abdel Aziz and his defence claimed the trial was politically motivated and invoked constitutional immunity. This was ultimately to no avail, with Abdel Aziz being found guilty in December 2023 and sentenced to five years’ imprisonment. This did not put the matter to bed on either side, however. Abdel Aziz appealed the ruling and had his sentence tripled to fifteen years in April 2025 as a result.

On the surface, this represents a remarkable rupture in the relationship between Abdel Aziz and Ghazouani, and it indeed has been accompanied by a recalibration of segments of the Mauritanian ruling elite. Nonetheless, the first year of Ghazouani’s second term has otherwise been marked by a structural entrenchment of economic and political trends which originally emerged under Abdel Aziz. Most notable among these is the country’s ongoing steep reliance on the primary commodities sector, its ambivalent navigation of an increasingly insecure and polarized regional landscape, and its embrace of an increasingly noxious migration politics.

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GEOPOLITICAL TRANSFORMATION AND ENERGY POLITICS

In April 2025, British Petroleum (BP) announced that the first shipment of cargo from the Grande Tortue Ahmeyim Liquified Natural Gas project was exported from its offshore carrier facility. Straddling the maritime border between Senegal and Mauritania, the project is jointly owned by BP and Kosmos, with the Senegalese and Mauritanian states holding minority shares. The project’s first LNG export recuperated some reputational damage suffered by the project earlier in the year, following a gas leak in February 2025. The leak had been ongoing for several weeks, and while the Mauritanian government claimed the impact was likely to be negligible, it drew criticism from Greenpeace for its potential impact upon the marine ecosystem off the Mauritanian and Senegalese coast, as well as from artisanal fishing community groups in Saint Louis, Senegal. With the first shipment of the project announced in a press conference in April, media attention has largely shifted from the fallout from the leak, and toward the projected annual export of 2.5 million tonnes of LNG once fully operational.

This prospect holds great promise for European powers in search of alternative energy sources following the Russian invasion of Ukraine, particularly as Mauritania remains a potential source of economic cooperation in a region increasingly defined by inter-imperial rivalry, primarily between Western actors and Russia. Having upended the regional order through ejecting Western military and diplomatic partners and withdrawing from ECOWAS, the three states of the self-styled Alliance of Sahelian States (AES), Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger, have since targeted Western economic interests. Mali has become embroiled in a dispute with Canadian mining firm Barrick Gold over what the Malian government claims are tax errors. In November 2024, the government arrested several Barrick Gold employees and closed its Bamako office, and it has since moved to seize control of the mining operation. Similarly in Niger, the local director of French uranium firm Orano was arrested following raids on their offices in the north of the country this year. This followed the Nigerian military government’s announcement that it had taken over operational control of Orano’s local mining firm in December 2024, and the opening of international arbitration proceedings against the country by Orano. In Burkina Faso, too, a new state mining company has been created, which has taken control of two industrial gold mines previously owned by a London-listed mining company.

While in recent memory, Mauritania belonged to the same regional security alliance as the now AES states—in the form of the Western-backed G5 Sahel security alliance—it has thus far not followed the lead of its former security partners in their outright rejection of Western influence. The reasons for this are partly historical; in the 1970s, Mauritania nationalized its mining industry and withdrew from that economic relic of the French colonial era, the West African CFA currency system. From its perspective, then, the struggles currently being waged elsewhere in the region against French neocolonialism appear, in a sense, obsolete. More recently, Mauritania has studiously avoided running headlong into the type of military adventures which ultimately cost other governments dearly in the Sahel region. In the decade preceding the spate of military coups that occurred in Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso from 2020 to 2023, all three states were close partners of Operation Barkhane, the French counterinsurgency campaign whose failure to stem extremist violence deepened the unpopularity of heads of state in each country. While Mauritania has refused any deployment of French troops on its territory, it has retained close military ties with Western partners, embracing NATO military training and security cooperation initiatives. NATO, in turn, increasingly views Mauritania as a vital strategic partner within its so-called ‘Southern Flank’.

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At the same time, Mauritania has increased its cooperation with non-Western actors in its own fashion over the past year, having participated in the November 2024 Russia-Africa summit and the September 2024 Forum on China-Africa Cooperation, during which an elevation of bilateral ties between Mauritania and China was announced. A pivot toward China is already in the economic offing; the country is the main export destination of Mauritanian iron ore, and is also Mauritania’s primary source of imports. In this light, while Mauritania has avoided the antagonisms that other Sahelian states have opened with Western partners, it appears to be playing a similar, if more discreet, game of diversifying geopolitical and economic alliances.

This diplomatic positioning is in keeping with the continental leadership role Mauritania acquired when Ghazouani became chairperson of the African Union in February 2024. While his position ended in February 2025 after its one-term limit had been reached, the country’s continental leadership role was prolonged through the election of Mauritanian economist Sidi Ould Tah as president of the African Development Bank in May 2025. Mauritania’s deft navigation between external geopolitical adversaries thus mirrors a burgeoning leadership position on a number of continental stages. There is, however, one element of the increasingly arcane Western political order to which Mauritania has demonstrated its steadfast commitment over the past year, despite domestic opposition and diplomatic rebuke from neighbouring states. This is the migration control agenda of the European Union (EU).

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THE EUROPEAN MIGRATION CONTROL AGENDA

The policing of clandestine migration from Mauritania to Spain has long been a feature of the policy landscape in the country, but only in the past year has it become an issue of domestic contestation and regional controversy. Faced with a sharp rise in the number of people arriving on the Canary Islands from Mauritania, the European Commission signed a migration partnership agreement with Mauritania in March 2024, which promised €210 million to the Mauritanian government before the end of the year. The partnership pledged to enhance the capacity of Mauritanian police to tackle people smuggling and human trafficking and also promised support for the asylum system and for legal migration schemes. For many within the domestic public and political opposition, however, it had the appearance of using Mauritanian territory as a dumping ground for people unwanted in Europe.

As indignation spread on social media and within civil society organizations, protests against the deal were organized by opposition parties and social movements in the capital city of Nouakchott. In 2025, in a move that may have been aimed at countering this perception, Mauritanian police launched an unprecedented crackdown on migrants in the country, with mass arrests, detentions and expulsions from state territory becoming commonplace from February 2025 onward. By May 2025, Mauritanian authorities claimed to have intercepted 30,000 migrants and dismantled over 80 smuggling networks so far. In the process, memories of a kindred campaign of expulsions targeting Senegalese nationals and Afro-Mauritanians in the late 1980s have resurfaced. As a result, the same long-standing ethno-racial grievances that characterized the riots and protests which followed the June 2024 elections have once more been brought to the fore.

The deportation campaign has also had regional ripple effects in the form of degraded relations with neighbouring countries, in particular Mali and Senegal. In March, the Senegalese government declared its ‘indignity’ at the treatment of its nationals in Mauritania, while Mali also condemned the expulsion of 520 of its citizens over the course of the month. At the end of March, the minister for Malians Abroad, Mossa Ag Attaher, led a mission to the Mauritania border in the Kayes region of south-western Mali, to evaluate the situation of the growing mass of people who found themselves stranded at the border, having been deported. Around the same time, the Malian government voiced its condemnation of the deportation campaign, denouncing Mauritania’s ‘flagrant violation of human rights and the rights of migrants in particular.’ While Mauritania has long cooperated with the EU by detaining and deporting migrants who may, or may not, be attempting to reach Europe from its territory, this is the first time that this cooperation has resulted in diplomatic tensions with neighbouring countries.

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THE PATH AHEAD

Much of Ghazouani’s second term thus far has involved navigating a range of global, continental and regional pressures, which find expression in the unprecedented geopolitical rift currently unfolding in the Sahel. On the surface, buying into the EU’s border externalization agenda may appear consistent with this balancing act, addressing as it does the policy priorities of one of Mauritania’s principal geopolitical partners. But the consequences suggest the costs outweigh the benefits. In domestic terms, the re-emergence of ethno-racial schisms, which fell dormant following the election, suggests this strategy could become a destabilizing factor in Ghazouani’s second term. Regionally, Mauritania is sacrificing diplomatic relations with neighbouring states for the sake of its adherence to European migration control prerogatives. And at the continental level, Mauritania’s leadership role risks being overshadowed by the negative effects of this adherence.

Ultimately, the externalization agenda of the EU reflects its inability to resolve social tensions and conflicts that are internal to Europe. Rather than absorbing this malaise, Mauritania would be better served by pivoting toward more promising political horizons. This would, first and foremost, mean that the rights and dignity of migrants residing on its territory are respected. But it would also strengthen Mauritania’s regional relations, salvage its continental leadership credentials, and facilitate a broader strategy of quietly and diplomatically diversifying geopolitical and economic partners⎈

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